Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 108.286937 123.796134 141.551144 163.561151 190.364833 222.275477 2.636416e+02
2025-05-11 86.909936 106.464562 131.087085 165.040746 211.760064 275.552731 3.725678e+02
2025-05-18 73.770818 94.355081 121.897643 162.670385 223.770375 316.087442 4.753785e+02
2025-05-25 65.995615 87.350560 117.357500 164.475821 240.472375 366.255266 6.110792e+02
2025-06-01 59.493649 80.901486 112.182551 163.733656 252.212171 410.868530 7.561926e+02
2025-06-08 53.935418 74.974277 106.721093 161.207001 259.870643 449.897011 9.092029e+02
2025-06-15 51.093078 72.680951 106.385192 166.823793 282.963195 525.756873 1.191929e+03
2025-06-22 46.157598 66.588976 99.161748 159.192238 279.001480 543.339833 1.335001e+03
2025-06-29 43.138391 63.215807 95.984563 158.286887 288.211486 593.857620 1.614613e+03
2025-07-06 40.611136 60.382862 93.367654 157.957636 298.483884 650.814121 1.969341e+03
2025-07-13 39.843847 60.362561 95.582932 167.290484 332.493652 785.255187 2.792793e+03
2025-07-20 39.323514 60.688029 98.417152 178.332397 373.764501 963.743714 4.159644e+03
2025-07-27 36.843854 57.599240 94.990580 176.454943 384.533919 1060.402791 5.376622e+03
2025-08-03 34.981254 55.471983 93.213764 178.097000 406.042195 1213.992589 7.602525e+03
2025-08-10 32.863281 52.686853 89.830724 175.474774 414.852231 1326.921806 1.007942e+04
2025-08-17 31.437695 51.041709 88.511734 177.471939 438.328635 1525.576195 1.513902e+04
2025-08-24 29.881359 49.018570 86.199627 176.650870 452.905440 1699.187093 2.200590e+04
2025-08-31 28.295311 46.815185 83.289575 173.856533 460.258387 1845.856546 3.113610e+04
2025-09-07 27.608818 46.279425 83.826657 180.070360 501.682525 2247.984947 6.340263e+04
2025-09-14 25.806326 43.441017 79.146477 171.629370 486.412222 2265.105840 7.850867e+04
2025-09-21 24.722281 41.949010 77.279338 170.628881 499.837365 2512.712848 1.387930e+05
2025-09-28 23.768778 40.651654 75.723484 170.265079 516.005979 2814.429057 2.855942e+05
2025-10-05 23.614226 40.945688 77.763532 180.586979 582.112383 3712.776361 2.222695e+06